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- 1 Sydney School of Public Health, the University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW
- 2 The Family Planning Australia Research Centre, Sydney, NSW
Open access:
Open access publishing facilitated by The University of Sydney, as part of the Wiley ‐ The University of Sydney agreement via the Council of Australian University Librarians.
Data Sharing:
Access to the data and analysis files underlying this report is permitted only with the explicit permission of the approving human research ethics committees and the data custodians. Analysis of linked data is currently authorised at only one location.
This study was supported by funding from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) Centre for Research Excellence (CIA Alexandra Barratt, 1104136). Rachel Farber received funding from the NHMRC (1168688) and the National Breast Cancer Foundation (NBCF) (DS‐19‐02). Katy Bell holds an NHMRC Investigator grant (1174523). Nehmat Houssami holds an NHMRC Investigator grant (1194410) and an NBCF Chair in Breast Cancer Prevention grant (EC‐21‐001). The funders had no role in the study design, data collection, analysis or interpretation, reporting or publication.
No relevant disclosures.
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Abstract
Objectives: To assess the impact of the transition from film to digital mammography in the Australian national breast cancer screening program.
Study design: Retrospective linked population health data analysis (New South Wales Central Cancer Registry, BreastScreen NSW); interrupted time series analysis.
Setting: New South Wales, 2002–2016.
Participants: Women aged 40 years or older with breast cancer diagnosed during 2002–2017 who had been screened by BreastScreen NSW and for whom complete follow‐up information until the end of the recommended re‐screening interval was available.
Intervention: Transition from film to digital mammography; 2009 defined as transition year (digital mammography becomes dominant screening modality).
Main outcome measures: Population rates of screen‐detected cancer, interval cancer, recalls, and false positive findings.
Results: The study cohort comprised 967 573 women; of the 2 741 555 screens, 1 535 184 used film mammography (2002–2010) and 1 206 371 used digital mammography (2006–2016). The screen‐detected cancer rate was 4.86 (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.75–4.97) cases per 1000 screens with film mammography and 6.11 (95% CI, 5.97–6.24) cases per 1000 screens with digital mammography (unadjusted difference, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.06–1.41] cases per 1000 screens). The interval cancer rate was 2.56 (95% CI, 2.48–2.64) cases per 1000 screens with film mammography and 2.84 (95% CI, 2.75–2.94) cases per 1000 screens with digital mammography (unadjusted difference, 0.27 [95% CI, 0.15–0.40] cases per 1000 screens). With the transition to digital mammography, the screen‐detected cancer rate increased by 0.07 per 1000 screens, the sum of the decline in the invasive cancer rate (–0.21 cases per 1000 screens) and the rise in the ductal carcinoma in situ detection rate (0.28 cases per 1000 screens); during 2009–2015, it increased by 0.18 cases per 1000 screens per year. With the transition to digital mammography, the interval cancer rate increased by 0.75 cases per 1000 screens (invasive cancer: by 0.69 cases per 1000 screens); during 2009–2015, it declined by 0.13 cases per 1000 screens per year. The recall rate increased by 8.02 per 1000 screens and the false positive rate by 7.16 per 1000 screens following the transition; both rates subsequently declined to pre‐transition levels.
Conclusions: The increased screen‐detected cancer rate following the transition to digital mammography was not accompanied by a reduction in interval cancer detection rates.