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Research

Child health Research 1 October 2026 Open Access

Barriers and Facilitators to Timely Detection and Optimal Management of Chronic Wet Cough in Aboriginal Children Across Australia From the Perspectives of Carers of Aboriginal Children: A Qualitative Study

Objective To identify barriers and facilitators to the timely detection and optimal management of chronic wet cough (CWC) in children from the perspectives of carers, across multiple, diverse First Nations Australian communities.Study TypeQualitative participatory action research study.Setting and ParticipantsEight Australian communities across three states and territories. Semi-structured interviews and focus groups with 167 parents and carers of Aboriginal children were conducted between May 2021 and July 2023.Main Outcome MeasuresBarriers to and facilitators of detection and management of CWC in Aboriginal children in a primary care setting.ResultsKey barriers identified included inadequate health promotion, the common perception that CWC is normal and high turnover among health staff, leading to mistrust of newly onboarded health staff. The overarching facilitator identified was knowledge dissemination through health promotion, delivered in person by Aboriginal health staff using culturally secure resources, supplemented by posters placed in the community and the use of radio and social media. Individual communities expressed varied preferences regarding specific health promotion methods and designs. Communities valued staff who had spent considerable time within the community, allowing for the development of trust and rapport.ConclusionThe barriers and facilitators to detecting and managing CWC in children were generally consistent across the settings we studied. Implementation approaches to facilitate care require tailoring to local settings. Further, to reduce identified barriers for the detection and management of CWC in children, the incorrect perception that CWC is normal must be addressed and the potential harms of staff turnover need to be recognised.

Gloria T. Y. Lau, Pam Laird, Robyn Aitken, Melanie Barwick, Liam Bedford, Emily R. Bowden, Jamie Everingham, Angela Fuery, Reece Griffin, Neha Jain, Mina Kinghorn, Renae Knapp, Gabrielle B. McCallum, Peter Morris, Richard Norman, Peter C. Richmond, Aarti Saiganesh, Slade Sibosado, Cameron Taylor, Maree Toombs, Roz Walker, Joan Wilson, Anne B. Chang, André Schultz

Health policy Research 30 September 2026 Open Access

Costs of Delivering the Hep B PAST Model of Care in Remote Australia: A Retrospective Pre–Post Study

Objectives To estimate the direct medical costs of the Hep B Partnership Program (Hep B PAST) model of care compared with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) usual care from the health system perspective (Northern Territory (NT) Department of Health and the Commonwealth).Study TypeRetrospective cohort study (2014–2023) that linked primary care with inpatient, emergency, outpatient and outreach datasets. Costs were applied using National Weighted Activity Units, the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme and NT Government costings. A pre- and post-implementation design from a health system perspective was applied, with costs in 2023 Australian dollars.SettingRemote communities in the NT, Australia.ParticipantsThe cohort included all First Nations people living with CHB who were attending a clinic in a remote community that had consented to the Hep B PAST program, and who received care between 1 July 2014 and 31 May 2023.Main Outcome MeasuresAnnual mean and median healthcare costs per contact and per individual across service types, with comparisons of annual mean costs per individual between pre- and post-Hep B PAST using partially overlapping t-tests.ResultsAmong 1063 First Nations individuals with CHB, annual median costs per individual were similar for usual care ($639 [interquartile range, $366–1156]) and Hep B PAST ($770 [interquartile range, $400–1272]); mean costs were also similar for usual care versus Hep B PAST ($1701 vs. $1970; p = 0.12). By service type, annual median costs were similar for inpatient services ($7777 vs. $7795), primary care ($327 vs. $302) and outpatient visits ($1985 vs. $1858), and higher for Hep B PAST for emergency services ($1339 vs. $1672) and outreach care ($373 vs. $746).ConclusionsIn remote First Nations communities, Hep B PAST was delivered with a modest increase in direct medical costs compared with usual care. These findings can be used to inform future cost-effective evaluations. Future cost savings from decreased hepatocellular carcinoma and liver failure were not included.

Hoa Nguyen, Anh Le Tuan Nguyen, Paula Binks, Melita McKinnon, Emily Vintour-Cesar, Karen Wills, Nicola Stephens, Benjamin Cowie, Joshua S. Davis, Yuejen Zhao, Peter Nihill, Julie A. Campbell, Andrew J. Palmer, Jane Davies, Barbara de Graaff

Child health Research 30 September 2026 Open Access

Barriers and Facilitators to Timely Detection and Optimal Management of Chronic Wet Cough in Aboriginal Children Across Australia From the Perspective of Health Care Providers: A Qualitative Study

Objective To identify barriers and facilitators to the timely detection and optimal management of chronic wet cough (CWC) in children from the perspective of health care providers (HCPs) across primary care clinics providing services to Australian Aboriginal people in multiple, diverse communities.Study TypeQualitative participatory action research study.Setting and ParticipantsEight Australian primary care clinics across three states and territories. Semi-structured interviews and focus groups were conducted with 83 HCPs from eight primary care clinics across metropolitan, regional and remote health service settings between May 2021 and July 2023.Main Outcome MeasuresBarriers to, and facilitators of, detection and optimal management of CWC in Aboriginal children in primary care settings.ResultsKey barriers identified included limited condition-specific knowledge, time constraints and competing priorities. HCPs identified key facilitators, such as the need for additional training, educational resources and various modifications to clinic systems. Barriers and facilitators were similar across settings. Proposed solutions varied and were based on several factors, such as community size, availability of existing infrastructure and local preferences. In addition, HCPs highlighted the importance of a culturally secure environment in fostering engagement and communication with Aboriginal families.ConclusionAlthough the barriers and facilitators to the detection and management of CWC in Aboriginal children were largely consistent across settings, solutions must be tailored to each community's unique circumstances. A comprehensive approach is required to overcome barriers and deliver the intervention within a culturally secure framework.

Gloria T. Y. Lau, Pamela Laird, Robyn Aitken, Melanie Barwick, Liam Bedford, Emily R. Bowden, Corey Dalton, Jamie Everingham, Angela Fuery, Reece Griffin, Neha Jain, Mina Kinghorn, Renae Knapp, Gabrielle B. McCallum, Peter Morris, Richard Norman, Peter C. Richmond, Aarti Saiganesh, Slade Sibosado, Maree Toombs, Roz Walker, Joan Wilson, Anne B. Chang, André Schultz

Emergency medicine Research 28 September 2026 Open Access

Epidemiology and Quality of Care for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Peoples Treated by Emergency Medical Services for Stroke in Victoria, Australia: Retrospective Analysis of Linked Data

Objectives To examine the epidemiology of stroke and transient ischaemic attack (TIA), and quality of care provided to Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander (‘Indigenous’) patients presenting to emergency medical services (EMSs) with stroke or TIA.DesignRetrospective population-based data linkage study.Setting, ParticipantsVictoria, Australia. Patients aged ≥ 18 years with hospital-confirmed stroke or TIA who presented to EMSs between 1 January 2015 and 30 June 2019 and were successfully linked with hospital or mortality datasets.Main Outcome MeasuresThirty- and 90-day mortality, crude and age-standardised incidence rates, EMS quality of care.ResultsAmong 32,163 patients, 287 (0.9%) were Indigenous. Indigenous patients were younger than non-Indigenous patients (median age, 62 vs. 77 years, p < 0.001). Age-standardised incidence of EMS attendance was higher within the Indigenous population (343 vs. 144 per 100,000 person-years; incidence rate ratio, 2.383 [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.084–2.711]). Rates of call-taker identification of stroke or TIA and hospital diagnoses were comparable; however, Indigenous patients were less likely to receive a stroke assessment from paramedics (166/285 [58.2%] vs. 21,271/31,605 [67.3%]; p = 0.001) and more frequently taken to stroke-capable hospitals (257/275 [93.5%] vs. 27,371/30,647 [89.3%]; p = 0.027), but less frequently taken to endovascular thrombectomy-capable hospitals (67/275 [24.4%] vs. 10,015/30,647 [32.7%]; p = 0.003). Adjusted mortality was similar between groups (30 days: hazard ratio, 0.814 [95% CI, 0.518–1.279]; 90 days: hazard ratio, 0.805 [95% CI, 0.534–1.214]). However, age-standardised incidence of 90-day mortality was higher within the Indigenous population (39 vs. 24 per 100,000 person-years; incidence rate ratio, 1.621 [95% CI, 1.031–2.398]). Indigenous patients also more often recontacted EMSs for any reason within 90 days (subdistribution hazard ratio, 1.548 [95% CI, 1.194–2.007]).ConclusionsThe age-standardised incidence of EMS attendance for stroke in the Indigenous population was more than double that for the non-Indigenous population. Although there was no difference in stroke identification at the time of the emergency call, Indigenous patients were less likely to be evaluated by paramedics for stroke.

Candice Menezes, Ziad Nehme, Luke J. Burchill, Tegwyn McManamny, Angela Dos Santos, Michelle Crilly, Luke P. Dawson, Benjamin Clissold, David Anderson, Emily Nehme

Adverse drug reactions Research 20 September 2026 Open Access

Short-Term Safety of Concomitant Meningococcal B and National Immunisation Program Vaccines in Infants Aged < 15 Months: A Survey-Based Surveillance Study

Objective To examine short-term safety outcomes following vaccination at 2-, 4-, 6- and 12-month timepoints, comparing infants receiving meningococcal B (MenB) vaccines concomitantly with National Immunisation Program (NIP) vaccines to those receiving vaccines at separate visits.Study TypeObservational cohort survey study.Setting, ParticipantsOnline surveys via AusVaxSafety were sent 3 days post-immunisation to collect reports of adverse events following immunisation (AEFIs). Infants aged < 15 months were included if, between 1 April 2022 and 31 March 2025, they received NIP and MenB vaccines concomitantly or separately at schedule timepoints, and their carer completed an AusVaxSafety survey.Main Outcome MeasuresBayesian multinomial logistic regression estimated the risk of reporting any AEFI, medical review and impact on daily activities following each vaccination strategy.ResultsOf 45,215 infants receiving NIP and MenB vaccines at the 2-, 4-, 6- and 12-month timepoints (with or without other vaccines), 72% (32,751/45,215) received concomitant vaccination. Excluding those with additional vaccines, 10,959 were included in the analysis. The adjusted model showed the cumulative risk of any AEFI was lower under the concomitant strategy compared with the separate strategy at 2 months (29% [95% credible interval (CrI), 26% to 31%] vs. 35% [95% CrI, 31% to 40%], risk difference −6.7 [95% CrI, −11.5 to −2.2]) and similar at 4 months (45% [95% CrI, 43% to 48%] vs. 47% [95% CrI, 43% to 52%]), 6 months (45% [95% CrI, 42% to 49%] vs. 44% [95% CrI, 38% to 50%]) and 12 months (47% [95% CrI, 45% to 50%] vs. 52% [95% CrI, 48% to 56%]). Medical review within 3 days was lower at 12 months in the concomitant group (4.1% [95% CrI, 3.4% to 5.0%] vs. separate 6.3% [95% CrI, 4.7% to 8.3%], risk difference −2.2 [−4.3 to −0.4]) and comparable across earlier time points (concomitant 2.3%–4.2% vs. separate 3.6%–3.9%). Impact on daily activities was low (concomitant 1.1%–8.5% vs. separate 1.6%–8.3%) with no differences observed between strategies.ConclusionsSeparating MenB vaccines from routine NIP vaccines does not reduce, and may increase, the cumulative reaction burden across visits. Findings support concomitant administration.

Thuy Nguyen, Evelyn C. S. Tay, Michael Dymock, Thomas L. Snelling, Lucy Dawes, Julie Marsh, Yue Wu, Alan Leeb, Nicholas Wood, Lucy Deng

Cancer Research 20 September 2026 Free

Sovereignty and Survival: Understanding Lung Cancer Outcomes for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander People in Australia, a Case–Control Study

Objective To identify factors contributing to the known increased age-standardised incidence and mortality rates for lung cancer for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people in Victoria, Australia.Study TypeRetrospective, population-based, case–control study using Victorian Cancer Registry (VCR) data and linked health administrative datasets.Setting and ParticipantsSelf-identified Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people (respectfully referred to hereon as Aboriginal) and non-Aboriginal people (aged > 18 years) diagnosed with lung cancer from 1 January 2008 to 31 December 2022.Main Outcome MeasuresClinical, pathological, demographic, socio-economic factors and biomarkers (programmed cell death-ligand 1 [PD-L1], anaplastic lymphoma kinase [ALK] and c-ros oncogene [ROS1]) were assessed. Endpoints were all-cause and lung cancer-specific mortality. Survival analyses were conducted using Cox regression.ResultsAboriginal people (N = 512) were younger (p < 0.001), more likely to live outside a major city (p < 0.001) and in areas of greatest disadvantage (p < 0.001) than non-Aboriginal people (N = 43,468). More Aboriginal females had small cell lung cancer compared with non-Aboriginal females (17% vs. 10%), more Aboriginal males had adenocarcinomas (41% vs. 36%) and squamous cell carcinomas (26% vs. 20%), compared with non-Aboriginal males. There were no differences in the proportions of PD-L1-positive disease nor ALK or ROS1 gene rearrangements. A higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.01–1.24; p = 0.03) for Aboriginal people after stratification for age, sex and lung cancer subtype was identified.ConclusionThis study identified that Aboriginal people were younger, more likely to be living outside of major cities and in areas of greatest inequity than non-Aboriginal people, which is an ongoing manifestation of colonisation. Aboriginal people diagnosed with lung cancer had an increased all-cause mortality compared with non-Aboriginal people.

Alice R. T. Bergin, Luc te Marvelde, Roger L. Milne, Benjamin J. Solomon, Kris Ivanova, Peter Savas, Stephen J. Luen, Jay Hamann, Andrea Casey, Nicole Watt, Sue M. Evans, Gail Garvey, Sherene Loi

Ageing Research letter 17 September 2026 Open Access

Respiratory Syncytial Virus Disease Burden and Evidence Gaps in Australia Before Immunisation Introduction: A Retrospective Population-Based Study Using 2016–2019 Hospitalisation and 2023 Laboratory Surveillance Data

This study evaluated Australia's national respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) burden and highlighted key data gaps. Hospitalisations (2016–2019) peaked in infants aged < 3 months (4014/100,000) and adults aged ≥ 65 years (122/100,000), nearly doubling over the period. Unspecified causes comprised ≈55% of bronchiolitis hospitalisations in children aged < 24 months. Laboratory notifications (2023) peaked at 6–11 months (7778/100,000). Real-time data integration addressing case-ascertainment and diagnostic testing frequency is essential for accurate burden estimates and future immunisation strategies.

Chisato Imai-Boulter, Jean Li-Kim-Moy, Clayton Chiu, Sanjay Jayasinghe, Kristine Macartney

Climate and health Research 10 September 2026 Open Access

The AUstralian-CLimate and Health Attitudes, RIsk and Trust in the sYstem (AU-CLARITY) Study: A National, Representative Survey

Objectives Climate change, associated with heat spikes, floods, wildfires and changing patterns of vector-borne diseases, is a major determinant of health, and health system functioning. Understanding public perceptions of climate-related health risks and system preparedness can support equitable policy responses and effective health messaging.Study TypeCross-sectional.SettingOnline survey from 20 June to 27 August 2025.Participants6030 adults, aged ≥ 18 years, broadly representative of the Australian population.Main Outcome MeasuresThe AUstralian-CLimate and Health Attitudes, RIsk and Trust in the sYstem (AU-CLARITY) survey collected data on demographics, health status, experiences of climate-related events, and views on climate change and health system preparedness.ResultsRespondents (65%, 3910/6030) were concerned about climate change, yet only 45% (2735/6030) perceived it as a serious risk to their own health. Personal risk perception declined with age (odds ratio [OR] = 0.98; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.98–0.98) and was higher among females (OR = 1.28; 95% CI, 1.15–1.43), First Nations people (OR = 1.44; 95% CI, 1.22–1.71), multilingual individuals (OR = 1.44; 95% CI, 1.22–1.71) and those with higher education (OR = 1.28; 95% CI, 1.12–1.46). Personal experience of a climate-related event increased perceived risk (OR = 1.97; 95% CI, 1.73–2.24). Regional and remote residents were less likely to perceive health risk (OR = 0.76; 95% CI, 0.65–0.89). A third (37%; 2209/6030) of respondents believed that the healthcare system was prepared for climate change. Being female (OR = 2.35; 95% CI, 2.10–2.65), having a chronic condition (OR = 1.47; 95% CI, 1.28–1.68) and older age (OR = 1.01; 95% CI, 1.01–1.01) increased perceptions that the system was unprepared. Those with higher education, who had been personally impacted, or identified as First Nations had more confidence in the system's preparedness.ConclusionsMany Australians recognise climate change as a health challenge; personal risk perception and confidence in system preparedness vary. Targeted health policies are needed to effectively communicate health risks and support healthcare's climate change resilience.

Jeffrey Braithwaite, Carolynn L. Smith, Yvonne A. Zurynski, Louise A. Ellis, Georgia Fisher, Kate Churruca, Lisa Pagano, Samantha Spanos, Janet C. Long, Christina Rojas, S. Bruce Dowton

Cardiovascular diseases Research 2 September 2026 Open Access

Distribution of Cardiovascular Disease Risk Based on the Updated 2023 Guideline-Recommended Australian Cardiovascular Disease Risk Algorithm and Comparison With the 2012 Algorithm: An Observational Study

Objectives To quantify cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, and implications for targeting preventive pharmacotherapy, using the 2023 guideline-recommended Australian CVD risk algorithm, and compare this to the previous (2012) algorithm.Study TypeApplication and comparison of two risk prediction algorithms.Setting and ParticipantsData from 115,873 people aged 45–74 years without existing CVD, who had a clinical encounter between September 2020 and August 2022, recorded within MedicineInsight, a longitudinal primary care database covering 8% of Australian general practices.Main Outcome MeasuresCVD risk distribution and risk categorisation into low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups under the 2023 and 2012 algorithms. Cohen's kappa and Bland–Altman plots were used to assess agreement and concordance.ResultsUsing the 2023 CVD risk algorithm and revised thresholds, 9.7% of participants were at high CVD risk (≥ 10% 5-year risk or clinically determined high risk); 26.4% were at intermediate CVD risk (5% to < 10% 5-year risk) and 63.9% were at low CVD risk (< 5% 5-year risk). Corresponding 2012 figures for CVD risk were 17.6% high (> 15% 5-year risk or clinically determined high risk), 11.6% intermediate (10%–15% 5-year risk) and 70.8% low (< 10% 5-year risk). Differences in proportions at high risk were largely driven by changes to clinically determined criteria for high risk. Overall, there was moderate-to-substantial agreement (linear-weighted kappa = 0.62) and concordance (Kendall's tau-b = 0.74) between algorithms.ConclusionProportions estimated at low risk and not routinely recommended pharmacotherapy align with international standards and were similar between guidelines. Although fewer people would be recommended pharmacotherapy due to being high risk under the updated versus previous guidelines, this likely reflects more accurate updated CVD risk estimation for the contemporary Australian population. The 2023 guidelines include a discretionary step (untested in our study) allowing adjustment based on additional factors. To ensure continued reduction of CVD burden across the population, we emphasise the use of this reclassification step by clinicians and consideration of the benefits of pharmacotherapy for those at intermediate risk.

Nina Lazarevic, Meghana Bhat, Grace Joshy, Danielle C. Butler, Mark Woodward, Anushka Patel, Rod T. Jackson, Garry Jennings, Rosemary Wyber, Ellie Paige, Emily Banks

Population health Research 2 September 2026 Open Access

Time for an Update: The Currency of Clinical Guidelines in Australia—A Cross-Sectional Analysis

Objectives Long-term and chronic health conditions are associated with a significant burden of disease and economic impact in Australia. Although improving health outcomes requires a multifactorial approach, up-to-date clinical guidelines can optimise healthcare delivery by providing clinicians with evidence-based, actionable recommendations. We aimed to determine the currency and key methodological characteristics of national clinical guidelines published in Australia and focussed on areas of highest prevalence and burden of disease.Study Design and SettingWe conducted a cross-sectional analysis by searching PubMed, the Guidelines International Network International Guidelines Library and Australian college and society websites in July 2025 for national clinical guidelines in the five areas of highest prevalence and burden of disease, as defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, respectively. Information and metrics relating to time since publication, time since last evidence search and methods and processes (e.g., reporting of clinical questions and Population, Intervention, Comparison, Outcome [PICO] criteria and approval of the guideline by the National Health and Medical Research Council [NHMRC]) were tabulated and analysed.ResultsThirty-one guidelines published between 2002 and 2025 were identified, with most relating to diabetes or mental health. The mean times since publication and last search date were 8.6 and 9.8 years, respectively. Most provided details regarding clinical questions (77%), PICO criteria (61%), search strategies (68%) and other methodological considerations, however, fewer than half used Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) to assess certainty of evidence or provided details regarding conflicts of interest (48% each). Of the 18 guidelines approved by the NHMRC, five were developed within the previous 5 years and remain approved.ConclusionFor most high-priority clinical conditions in Australia, there are no up-to-date evidence-based guidelines available to support clinical decision-making. Guideline developers and funders should invest more energy and resources into planning for updates and ensuring that methods and processes are optimised to facilitate this, such as considering a living approach.

Heath White, Ethan Fernandes, Kristina Peduru-Arachchige, Tari Turner, Steven McGloughlin, Steve McDonald

Epidemiology Research 1 September 2026 Open Access

Patterns of Osteoporosis Treatment Initiation Following Low-Trauma Fracture: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study in New South Wales, Australia, Using Linked Administrative Health Data

Objectives To characterise osteoporosis medicine prescribing patterns following low-trauma fractures and identify predictors of early treatment initiation.Study TypeRetrospective population-based cohort study.SettingNew South Wales, Australia, using statewide linked administrative health data.ParticipantsAdults aged ≥ 50 years with an incident low-trauma fracture between January 2011 and June 2019.Main Outcome MeasuresPrimary outcomes were osteoporosis treatment prescribing patterns and timing of initiation after incident fracture over 3 years, categorised as early (within 12 months), late (within 1–3 years) or no initiation. Secondary analyses examined predictors of time to treatment initiation within 12 months using Fine–Gray competing-risk regression.ResultsAmong 132,268 individuals with incident fractures, 63.7% (84,222) were female. Overall, 29,802 (22.5%) initiated osteoporosis medicine, whereas 102,466 (77.5%) remained untreated. Among females (mean [standard deviation] age, 77.7 [10.1] years), 20.1% initiated therapy within 12 months, 7.0% within 1–3 years, and 72.9% remained untreated. Among males (mean [standard deviation] age, 77.2 [10.0] years), the corresponding proportions were 10.8%, 3.7% and 85.6%. After accounting for the competing risk of death, treatment initiation was more likely with non-distal fractures, older age, polypharmacy, prior steroid use, prior dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry and later fracture year, and less likely with greater comorbidity, rural or regional residence and prior hospitalisation for falls. The strongest associations were for hip or vertebral fracture (subdistribution hazard ratio range, 1.90–3.03) and high comorbidity burden (subdistribution hazard ratio range, 0.72–0.75). Almost one in four late initiators had a refracture before starting treatment. Denosumab rapidly replaced oral bisphosphonates as the dominant therapy over time.ConclusionMore than three-quarters of individuals remain untreated after fracture, highlighting persistent and substantial gaps in secondary fracture prevention. Treatment initiation is strongly associated with fracture site and multimorbidity burden, and initiation rates are lower in males. Increasing reliance on denosumab underscores the need for careful long-term treatment planning and strategies.

Mike Lin, Huy Nguyen, Thach Tran, Robert D. Blank, Dana Bliuc, Jacqueline R. Center

Mja2 70285
Toxicology Research letter 1 September 2026 Open Access

Gabapentinoid Poisoning Presentations to Victorian Emergency Departments: A 15-Year Trend Analysis

This study identified and characterised 1207 emergency department presentations related to gabapentinoid overdose in Victoria from 2009–2010 to 2023–2024. Presentation rates increased substantially since 2009–2010, and about half (49.5%; 597/1207) of all presentations were classified as intentional. Co-ingestants were common, although 36.2% (437/1207) of presentations were reported to involve gabapentinoids alone.

Bishaal Tej Gurung, Amy McNeilage, Angus Skeen, Tina Lam, Joanna F. Dipnall, Jane Hayman, Suzanne Nielsen, Ting Xia

Pregnancy Research 24 August 2026 Open Access

Temporal Trends in Preterm Birth Associated With Hypertensive Disorders of Pregnancy in Victoria, Australia: A Population-Based Interrupted Time-Series Study

Objectives Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) are a leading reason for medically indicated preterm birth (PTB), yet their contribution to population-level PTB trends is poorly understood. We examined temporal trends in PTB overall and HDP-associated PTB in Victoria over an 11-year period spanning the COVID-19 pandemic, and distinguished changes in HDP prevalence from changes in preterm delivery among affected pregnancies.Study TypePopulation-based interrupted time-series study using seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) models, with July 2018 (launch of a national preterm birth prevention program) pre-specified as a temporal reference point.SettingAll hospitals in Victoria, Australia.Participants779,325 singleton births at ≥ 20 weeks' gestation between 1 January 2012 and 31 March 2022.Main Outcome MeasuresMonthly rates (per 1000 singleton births) of overall PTB, HDP and HDP-associated PTB. Decomposition analyses separated changes in HDP prevalence from changes in preterm delivery among affected pregnancies.ResultsOverall PTB was lower after July 2018 (5.8%–5.6%), while HDP prevalence increased (6.4%–7.0%). HDP-associated PTB increased before mid-2018 (+0.75 per 1000 births per month; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.50–1.00) but declined thereafter (−1.12 per 1000 births per month; 95% CI, −1.88 to −0.36). This reversal was driven predominantly by reduced iatrogenic PTB with HDP; spontaneous PTB with HDP showed no significant change. Despite rising HDP prevalence, decomposition analyses estimated 89 fewer HDP-associated PTB cases than expected under pre-2018 patterns, reflecting a decline in the proportion of HDP pregnancies delivered preterm. PTB without HDP showed no significant temporal change.ConclusionPTB among HDP-complicated pregnancies declined despite increasing HDP prevalence, consistent with a shift towards later gestational age at delivery rather than reduced disease incidence. These findings may reflect improvements in care and demonstrate that reductions in iatrogenic PTB are achievable even as major risk factors become more prevalent.

Melvin Marzan, Heng Jiang, Daniel Lorber Rolnik, Joanne M. Said, Lisa Hui

Mja2 70267
Cancer Research 18 August 2026 Open Access

Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer With Liver-Only Metastases: A Retrospective Cohort Study Integrating Prospectively Collected Real-World Clinical and Molecular Data From an Australian National Database (2009–2024) to Guide Treatment Planning

Objective To leverage the Treatment of Recurrent and Advanced Colorectal Cancer (TRACC) registry (an Australian cancer database) to explore the ideal timing and sequence of therapies and the factors influencing these decisions in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with liver-only metastases to inform contemporary decision-making and future trials.Study TypeRetrospective registry-based cohort study using the TRACC registry.Setting and ParticipantsConsecutive patients with liver-only metastatic CRC enrolled in the TRACC registry.Main Outcome MeasuresTo explore cancer biology, intended treatment at presentation, actual treatment received and the resultant outcomes for early-onset CRC (EOCRC) (≤ 50 years) and late-onset CRC (LOCRC) (> 50 years) patients with liver-only metastases from a real-world perspective.ResultsBetween 14 January 2009 and 2 September 2024, 1691 patients with liver-only metastatic CRC were enrolled in TRACC. These included 276 EOCRC patients (16.3%) and 1415 LOCRC patients (83.7%). In the EOCRC subset, there were more females (48.2% vs. 34.5%, p < 0.001), less comorbidity (Charlson comorbidity index score 0, 90% vs. 59%, p < 0.001), more left-sided primaries (76.1% vs. 65.7%, p < 0.001), more synchronous disease (53.3% vs. 42.1%, p < 0.001) and BRAF V600E mutations (13.9% vs. 8.1%; p = 0.010). Overall, EOCRC patients had a longer median survival compared with LOCRC patients (3.20 vs. 2.38 years, p < 0.001). For the 662 patients (39.1%) undergoing liver resection, median survival was 5.99 years in EOCRC patients and 5.88 years in LOCRC patients. For all patients and for those undergoing resection, respectively, B-Raf proto-oncogene, serine/threonine kinase (BRAF) (hazard ratio, 1.97 [p < 0.001] and hazard ratio, 2.25 [p < 0.001]) and Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homologue (KRAS) mutations were associated with worse outcomes (hazard ratio, 1.29 [p < 0.001] and hazard ratio, 1.34 [p = 0.003]).ConclusionDifferences in sex distribution, BRAF mutation rates, primary tumour site and overall survival suggest biological differences between EOCRC and LOCRC. Liver resection was associated with improved survival in LOCRC, with the benefits of all therapies varying depending on age, primary tumour site and whether patients presented with synchronous or metachronous liver-only metastases.

Savio G. Barreto, Christos S. Karapetis, Shahid Ullah, Matthew Burge, Susan Caird, Angus Campbell, Azim Jalali, Ross Jennens, Muhammad A. Khattak, Belinda Lee, Stephanie H. Lim, Shehara Mendis, Louise Nott, Timothy J. Price, Jeremy D. Shapiro, Jeanne Tie, Javier Torres, Colin Williams, Rachel Wong, Vanessa Wong, Peter Gibbs

Mja2 70266
Cancer Research 18 August 2026 Open Access

Uneven Ground: Survival Differences Among Victorian Lung Cancer Patients by Location of Residence (2011–2023): A Retrospective Cohort Study

Objectives Patients in regional and rural areas consistently experience poorer lung cancer survival rates compared with those in metropolitan centres, but the reasons remain unclear. This study examined survival differences in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) across Victoria and identified key prognostic factors contributing to these differences.DesignRetrospective cohort study.Setting and ParticipantsNSCLC patients diagnosed between 1 July 2011 and 22 May 2023 identified from the Victorian Lung Cancer Registry (VLCR).Main Outcome MeasuresResidential address and treatment institution were classified using the Modified Monash Model (MMM): Modified Monash (MM) category 1 (MM1) as metropolitan, MM2 as regional and MM3–MM7 as rural/remote. Demographic, socio-economic and cancer-specific factors were analysed as potential predictors of all-cause mortality.ResultsAmong 13,548 patients, 4244 (31%) lived in regional or rural/remote areas. Compared with metropolitan patients, these groups had higher smoking prevalence (metropolitan, 2848/9304 [31%] vs. regional, 366/1083 [34%] vs. rural, 1148/3161 [37%]) and were more likely to be Australian-born (metropolitan, 4919/9304 [53%] vs. regional, 873/1083 [81%] vs. rural, 2603/3161 [82%]; p < 0.001). Comorbidity burden was similar across groups (median, 1; interquartile range, 0.0–1.0; p = 0.19). Socio-economic disadvantage was more marked in regional and rural patients (median Index of Relative Socio-Economic Advantage and Disadvantage [IRSAD] deciles: metropolitan, 8.0 vs. regional, 5.0 vs. rural, 3.0; p < 0.001), and average travel times to treatment were longer (metropolitan, 0.4 vs. regional, 1.9 vs. rural, 2.8 h, respectively). Patients treated at regional institutions had poorer survival (hazard ratio [HR], 1.27; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.19–1.35; p < 0.001). This difference persisted after adjustment for age, stage, performance status, smoking and comorbidities (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.04–1.18; p = 0.001).ConclusionsRegional, rural and remote patients with NSCLC face greater socio-economic disadvantage and travel burdens, and experience poorer survival even after accounting for clinical and demographic factors. These findings highlight enduring inequities in lung cancer care and emphasise the need for targeted interventions to strengthen access, treatment equity and outcomes for non-metropolitan populations.

Evangeline Samuel, Eldho Paul, Mike Lloyd, Sanuki Tissera, Craig Underhill, Sagun Parakh, Phillip Parente, Inger Olesen, Javier Torres, Katharine See, Gavin M. Wright, David Langton, Thomas John, Matthew Conron, James Bartlett, Nicola Atkin, Nikolajs Zeps, Susan V. Harden, Wasek Faisal, John R. Zalcberg, Rob G. Stirling

Mja2 70268
Cardiovascular diseases Research 16 August 2026 Open Access

Estimating Eligibility for GLP-1 Receptor Agonists for Chronic Weight Management and Cardiovascular Disease in Australia: Cross-Sectional Analysis of National Health Survey Data

Objective To estimate population-level eligibility for glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) medications among adults in Australia, according to Therapeutic Goods Administration-approved indications for chronic weight management and secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease in individuals with overweight or obesity.Study TypeCross-sectional analysis of data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics 2022 National Health Survey.Setting, ParticipantsNon-pregnant adults aged ≥ 18 years who were residents of Australia living in a private dwelling.Main Outcome MeasuresTotal number of adults eligible for GLP-1RA medications according to approved indications for chronic weight management and secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease in individuals with overweight or obesity, across subgroups defined by body mass index, weight-related comorbidities and/or sociodemographic factors.ResultsOverall, 39.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 38.4%–41.0%) of adults were eligible for GLP-1RA use for chronic weight management, accounting for 7.8 million (95% CI, 7.6–8.1 million) individuals. Among those eligible, 2.9 million (95% CI, 2.7–3.1 million) adults had no weight-related comorbidities, 3.3 million (95% CI, 3.1–3.4 million) adults had one weight-related comorbidity and 1.7 million (95% CI, 1.6–1.8 million) adults had at least two weight-related comorbidities. The proportion of adults eligible under this indication varied across clinical and sociodemographic factors. Among those eligible under the chronic weight management indication, up to 338.9 thousand (95% CI, 271.3–406.5 thousand) adults also met the indication criteria for secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease.ConclusionAbout 7.8 million Australian adults are eligible to access GLP-1RAs for chronic weight management, with up to 338.9 thousand adults also qualifying according to the indication for established cardiovascular disease. This study provides a valuable reference for policymakers to understand the number of adults in Australia who may access GLP-1RA medications based on approved indication criteria and under various coverage scenarios.

Jasmin Castrillon, Chris Schilling, Sharmala Thuraisingam, Michael W. Hii, Priya Sumithran, Peter F. Choong, Michelle M. Dowsey, Cade Shadbolt

Mja2 70253
Antibiotics Research 13 August 2026 Open Access

Watchful Waiting Compared With Immediate Antibiotics for Urban Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Children With Uncomplicated Acute Otitis Media (WATCH): A Non-Inferiority Randomised Controlled Trial

Objective Determine whether watchful waiting is non-inferior to immediate oral antibiotics for uncomplicated acute otitis media among urban Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children.Study TypeNon-inferiority unblinded randomised controlled trial.Setting and ParticipantsEight Aboriginal Medical Services across three Australian states and territories between 25 August 2014 and 2 June 2023. Children (aged 1.5–16 years) with type B tympanograms and bulging tympanic membrane or acute pain/irritability were randomised by site and age (1.5–6 years and 7–16 years), with stratification using randomly allocated, permuted blocks of four and six in length.Main Outcome MeasuresWatchful waiting compared with immediate oral antibiotics using modified intention-to-treat (using only available data) and per-protocol analyses of Day 7 clinical resolution with non-inferiority threshold set at 10 percentage points.ResultsChildren were randomly allocated to watchful waiting (134), six of whom were lost to follow-up or immediate antibiotics (129) with three lost to follow-up. Resolution occurred in 57/106 (53.8%) watchful waiting and 68/113 (60.2%) immediate antibiotic group of those with complete Day 7 data (−6.4 percentage points difference; 90% confidence interval [CI], −17.4 to 4.6) (modified intention-to-treat analysis). Per-protocol analysis similarly demonstrated reduced resolution in the watchful waiting group (49/97; 50.5%) compared with immediate antibiotics (67/112; 59.8%) with −9.3 percentage points difference (90% CI, −20.6 to 2.0). There was less Day 3 diarrhoea in watchful waiting (3/90; 3.3%) than in the immediate antibiotic group (13/93 [14.0%]; −10.7 percentage points difference; 95% CI, −18.6 to −2.7) but no other differences in vomiting, diarrhoea or rash (Days 3–14). Day 7 analgesia use was higher in the watchful waiting (53/107 [49.5%]) than immediate antibiotic group (37/116 [31.9%]; 17.6 percentage points difference; 95% CI, 4.9 to 30.1). There were no intervention-related severe adverse events or perforations.ConclusionAlthough our results are numerically similar to those reported in other low-risk populations and no unexpected safety signals were observed in the watchful waiting arm, non-inferiority was not established. Larger, adequately powered trials are required to determine whether watchful waiting is non-inferior in this population.Trial RegistrationAustralian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN#12613001068752

Jennifer S. Reath, Hasantha Gunasekera, Sanja Lujic, Amanda J. Leach, Letitia Campbell, Robyn Walsh, Tim Usherwood, Geoffrey K. Spurling, Claudette A. Tyson, Deborah A. Askew, Kelvin Kong, Chelsea J. Watego, Peter Morris, Wendy Hu, Penelope A. Abbott

Mja2 70260
Climate and health Research 6 August 2026 Open Access

The Impact of Heat and Bushfire Smoke on Health System Utilisation in Australia

Objective To characterise the associations of heat and bushfire smoke with health services utilisation and medication use at a national scale to support Australia's first National Climate Risk Assessment.DesignCross-sectional, population study, covering health conditions with the highest burden of disease.Setting and ParticipantsPeople in Australia accessing public health services between 2014 and 2020 for care related to cardiovascular, respiratory and mental health conditions.Main Outcome MeasuresRelative risks of heat and bushfire smoke (particulate matter ≤ 2.5 μm in diameter [PM2.5]) on health system utilisation and medication use, measured as emergency department (ED) presentations, hospital inpatient admissions, Medicare Benefits Schedule service claims in primary care and Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme prescriptions dispensed. Relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals were estimated for short-term lags between exposure periods and health system usage.ResultsHeat was most strongly associated with ED presentations, with a RR of 1.033 (95% CI, 1.023–1.043; p < 0.001) per degree temperature change for respiratory conditions and 1.023 (95% CI, 1.016–1.031; p < 0.001) for mental health conditions. PM2.5 at a 1-day lag had the highest association with hospital admissions, with a RR of 1.014 per 1 μg/m3 change in particulate density for both cardiovascular (p = 0.001) and respiratory (p = 0.002) conditions. Primary care visits for mental health conditions were strongly associated with levels of PM2.5 (RR, 1.049 [95% CI, 1.040–1.058]; p < 0.001) and with temperature (RR, 1.027 [95% CI, 1.014–1.039]; p < 0.001), while medication use increased across respiratory, cardiovascular and mental health categories in response to both exposures, with particulate matter showing stronger effects for cardiovascular, respiratory and mental health prescriptions. Mental health outcomes consistently showed vulnerability across all domains.ConclusionHeat was strongly associated with acute ED presentations, while particulate matter was strongly associated with hospital admissions and medication use. Mental health services are broadly sensitive to both exposures. These findings emphasise the need for integrated air quality management and heat-health polices to reduce system-wide health burdens.

Hwan-Jin Yoon, Justin Boyle, Ibrahima Diouf, Rajiv Jayasena

Mja2 70261
Medical education Research 30 July 2026 Open Access

Roadmap to Support International Medical Graduates for Satisfying Rural General Practice Careers: A Realist Evaluation Approach

Objectives Develop a roadmap of contextualised strategies to support international medical graduates (IMGs) on the pathway into satisfying rural general practitioner careers in Australia.DesignRealist evaluation approach.Setting, ParticipantsOnline semi-structured interviews, focus groups and intermittent feedback cycles developed, refined and confirmed a contextualised roadmap of strategies between 1 November 2024 and 27 July 2025. Participants were purposefully selected for IMG background and different pathways into rural general practice careers across Australia. This included a 10-person project advisory group and 31 external participants covering decision-makers, training teams, supervisors and trainees. Questions explored practical strategies to drive comfort, confidence, competence, belonging and bonding.Main Outcome MeasuresContextualised strategies for IMGs to achieve satisfying rural general practice careers.ResultsThe roadmap identified that when migrating and acclimatising, providing IMGs with centralised resources and information on rural general practice training and careers promotes comfort and empowerment. When moving to new workplaces and communities, providing IMGs with supportive workplaces for early supervised practice, skill bridging and opportunities to connect with other doctors', families and communities stimulates IMG confidence, competence and sense of community belonging. When training to become a general practitioner rurally, providing IMGs with family-focused, equitable training matched to the IMG and the community, and training that builds on IMG capabilities, promotes a sense of professional belonging and bonding. We identified that early intervention and a continuity of supports are important for more comprehensively supported IMGs.ConclusionsOngoing timely support, when multi-layered, tailored and integrated, may assist IMGs to gain specialist general practice qualifications, feel valued and to settle in rural general practice roles. The roadmap provides a basis for planning coordinated longitudinal support by distributed agencies.

Belinda G. O'Sullivan, Kim J. Omond, Neysan Sedaghat

Mja2 70254 option1
Ageing Research 5 July 2026 Open Access

Multimorbidity Clusters Among People Aged 65 Years and Over in Australia: A Nationwide Cross-Sectional Data Linkage Study

Objectives To identify sex-specific multimorbidity patterns in Australia, using the Rx-Risk index (a medication-based measure), to: (i) estimate the prevalence of chronic treated conditions; (ii) map network-based multimorbidity clusters; and (iii) examine how these clusters vary by age, socio-economic status and geographic remoteness.DesignAustralian nationwide cross-sectional study using linked Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) and Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) data.SettingAustralian residents aged ≥ 65 years with at least one PBS and/or MBS claim between 1 July 2022 and 30 June 2023.Main Outcome MeasuresSex-specific network-based multimorbidity clusters and cluster profiles by age, socio-economic status and geographic remoteness.ResultsA total of 4,435,784 individuals (mean age, 74.8 years; 53.2% female) were included. Multimorbidity (≥ 2 conditions) was present in 76.1% of the cohort. Three consistent multimorbidity clusters were identified in both sexes: cardiovascular–metabolic, neuropsychiatric–functional decline and inflammatory–musculoskeletal–cancer. The prevalence of these clusters and their component conditions varied across sociodemographic groups, with higher prevalence observed in individuals aged ≥ 85 years and those living in socio-economically disadvantaged areas. Minimal differences were observed between metropolitan and non-metropolitan regions.ConclusionsMultimorbidity was highly prevalent among older Australians with at least one PBS and/or MBS claim during the study year, with multimorbidity clusters showing marked sociodemographic variation in prevalence. These findings highlight the heterogeneity in treated conditions captured in administrative claims and provide insights to inform future research and policy planning for prevention and management of multimorbidity in an ageing population.

Weisi Chen, Christine Y. Lu, Sarah N. Hilmer, Alice A. Gibson, Edwin C. K. Tan

Vaccination Research 1 July 2026 Open Access

Drivers of Vaccine Uptake for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Children to Inform Tailored Strategies: A Qualitative Study Exploring Health Service Provider Perspective

Objectives To identify drivers of routine vaccination for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children, from a health service provider perspective, to increase and maintain uptake.DesignThis qualitative study was designed, analysed and guided by Indigenous data sovereignty and governance principles. Data were analysed using inductive content analysis. Subcategories were refined using Miro (Miro Inc), an online collaboration platform. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander worldviews were privileged, with Aboriginal researchers leading data analysis in New South Wales (NSW) and contributing to analysis in the Northern Territory (NT).SettingThe study was conducted in NSW and the NT, Australia, with health service providers from urban, rural and remote settings.ParticipantsIndividual and group interviews were undertaken in person or online between 2 May and 28 August 2024, with 18 health service provider participants in the Hunter New England Local Health District in NSW and 17 health service provider participants in the NT.ResultsWe identified six key themes addressing drivers of vaccination for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children for families (knowledge, attitudes and information sources; decision-making), health staff (workforce roles, responsibilities and relationships) and health services (improving access; health service operations; data for decision-making). Providers recommended strategies to improve uptake.ConclusionsHealth service providers in urban, rural and remote locations in Australia can provide valuable insights to inform tailored strategies to improve declining vaccine coverage for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children, aligned with the priorities of the National Immunisation Strategy 2025–2030.

Bianca F. Middleton, Kristy Crooks, Kylie Taylor, Elizabeth Harwood, Katrina K. Clark, Caitlin Kent, Kelly McCrory, Marita Hefler, Jessica Kaufman, David N. Durrheim, Margie H. Danchin

Toxicology Research letter 1 July 2026 Open Access

Self-Poisoning With Prazosin and Its Off-Label Use in Australia, 2014–2024: Analysis of NSW Poisons Information Centre Data

NSW Poisons Information Centre data identified 1030 deliberate prazosin self-poisonings over 11 years, rising from 13 to 170 per year (2014–2024). Young women predominated, likely due to expanded off-label (but accepted) psychiatric use of prazosin. Better evidence on benefits of off-label use is needed to justify increasing risks.

Olivia B. E. Lal, Nicholas A. Buckley, Rose Cairns

Mja2 70242
Child health Research 28 June 2026 Free

Intergenerational Child Protection Contact and Child Development Outcomes: A Whole Population Linked Data Study

Objectives To investigate maternal child protection histories, and offspring child protection contacts and developmental outcomes, for children at age 5 years.Study DesignObservational cohort study using linked South Australian administrative birth, perinatal, child protection and child development data.Participants, SettingChildren with a South Australian birth registration and a record in the 2009, 2012, 2015 or 2018 Australian Early Development Census (AEDC).Main Outcome MeasuresHighest level of child protection system contact for children before starting school, and developmental vulnerability on one or more AEDC domains.ResultsOf 69,332 children, 7522 (10.8%) had a mother with a history of any child protection contact, and 1019 (1.5%) had a mother with at least one out-of-home care placement. Maternal child protection history was associated with increasing levels of socio-economic and health disadvantage around the time of birth. For example, overall there were 8245/69,332 (11.9%) children born into a home where the parent(s) were unemployed, compared with 549/1019 (53.9%) with a maternal out-of-home care history. For children whose mothers had child protection contact, 3793/7522 (50.4%) had their own child protection contact by age 5 years, compared with 7033/61,810 (11.4%) for children whose mothers had no contact. Of 6771 children whose mothers had child protection contact, 2724 (40.2% [95% confidence interval], 39.1%–41.4%) were developmentally vulnerable on one or more AEDC domains when they started school, compared with 12,002/58,165 (20.6% [95% confidence interval], 20.3%–21.0%) children with no maternal child protection history.ConclusionChild protection contact is common in both mothers and children, and maternal child protection history carries an increased burden of poor development outcomes at school entry. The scale and intersection of child protection system contact, early life disadvantage and poor development outcomes have implications for appropriately resourcing health-led supportive responses as early as possible during the perinatal and early childhood periods.

Meredith Forsyth, Alicia Montgomerie, Kathleen Falster, Deepa Jeyaseelan, Paul Hotton, John Lynch, Rhiannon M. Pilkington

Treatment and Survival Outcomes for Indigenous and Non-Indigenous Australians Within the Victorian Lung Cancer Registry: A Retrospective Cross-Sectional Cohort Study

Objectives Our goal was to explore and compare risk factors, patterns of management and survival outcomes in Indigenous compared with non-Indigenous Australian patients using the Victorian Lung Cancer Registry (VLCR).Study TypeA retrospective observational cohort study of the VLCR.SettingData collected from the VLCR between 18 January 2011 and 24 January 2024.ParticipantsPrimary lung cancer patients in the VLCR.Main Outcome MeasuresPatient, disease and management characteristics of Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australian patients. Impacts of patient and clinical variables on treatment and survival, measured by multivariable Cox regression and propensity-matched survival analysis.ResultsWe included 186 Indigenous and 17,439 non-Indigenous Australian patients. Indigenous Australian lung cancer patients were younger in age {median, 62 years (interquartile range [IQR], 55–69 years) vs. median, 71 years (IQR, 63–77 years); p < 0.001}, had lower socio-economic status (lowest quintile, 57 patients [31%] vs. 3274 patients [19%]; p < 0.001), were more likely to be current smokers (118 patients [65%] vs. 5963 patients [35%]; p < 0.001) and had higher levels of respiratory comorbidity (64 patients [34%] vs. 4088 patients [23%]; p < 0.001). There were no statistically significant differences in receipt of guideline-concordant treatment (82 patients [51%] vs. 8036 patients [56%]; p = 0.12) and survival outcomes (median survival, 1.4 vs. 1.5 years; hazard ratio, 1.06 [95% confidence interval, 0.88–1.27]).ConclusionWe found lung cancer patients of Indigenous status were more likely to have demographic disadvantage and clinical risk factors that may contribute to discrepancies in management compared with patients of non-Indigenous status. Identifying barriers to healthcare and treatment in the Indigenous Australian population is an important research priority to improve disparities between the two populations.

Melanie Wong, Mike Lloyd, Jessie Zeng, Sanuki Tissera, Kalinda E. Griffiths, Justine Clark, Jonathan Gillies, Lisa Briggs, Jacqueline Lesage, Tom Wood, Craig Underhill, Sagun Parakh, Louis B. Irving, Wasek Faisal, Rob Blum, Gary E. Richardson, Phillip Parente, Michelle Caldecott, Inger Olesen, Javier Torres, Evangeline Samuel, Christopher Lyne, Katharine See, David Langton, Thomas John, Gavin Wright, Matthew Conron, James Bartlett, Golsa Adabi, Maggie Moore, Susan Harden, Zoe K. McQuilten, John R. Zalcberg, Rob Stirling

Respiratory disease Research 23 June 2026 Open Access

Worsening Asthma Outcomes in Australian Adults: A Comparison of Stratified Sample Surveys in 2012 and 2021

Objectives To report patterns of asthma control, medications and healthcare utilisation in Australian adults with asthma in 2021, and assess changes since a similar survey in 2012. Study Type Cross-sectional web-based survey (February–March 2021; n=5427), compared with a similar 2012 survey (n=2686). Setting/Participants Adults (≥18years) with asthma, recruited from large web-based panels, with enrolment stratified by age group, gender and state/territory. Main Outcome Measures Asthma control test (ACT), healthcare utilisation and medications. Results Median age was 46years; 59% of participants reported female gender. Compared with 2012, fewer participants had well-controlled symptoms (ACT≥20: 2021, 48.0%; 2012, 54.4%; p<0.001), and more had very poorly controlled symptoms (ACT 5–15: 2021, 26.8%; 2012, 22.9%; p<0.001). Urgent asthma healthcare had increased (2021, 37.9%; 2012, 28.6%; odds ratio 1.53 [95% confidence interval, 1.37–1.69]; p<0.001). Inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) use in the previous year was similar (2021, 60.9%; 2012, 60.8%) but adherence was lower (p<0.001). Fewer participants had good symptom control while taking little/no ICS (2021, 33.4%; 2012, 40.1%), and more had uncontrolled symptoms with little/no ICS (2021, 38.1%; 2012, 25.6%; p<0.001); among the latter group, urgent healthcare utilisation had increased (2021, 63.5%; 2012, 41.2%; p<0.001). In 2021, 28.7% reported using oral corticosteroids for asthma in the previous year; only 42.0% of ICS users recalled their inhaler technique having been checked in the past 12months. Overuse of short-acting beta2-agonists was common: 56.3% adults obtained ≥3 inhalers in the previous year, and 10.5% obtained ≥12 inhalers. For symptom relief in the previous 4weeks, only 13.3% adults reported using an anti-inflammatory reliever (ICS–formoterol). Conclusion Our comparison of these two large nationally stratified sample surveys demonstrates significant worsening of key asthma indicators between 2012 and 2021, including worse symptom control and urgent healthcare use, but also indicates opportunities for improvement. The findings highlight an urgent need for system-wide implementation of the 2025 Australian asthma guidelines to reduce preventable morbidity. Trial Registration ACTRN12620000977976p

Helen K. Reddel, Maria R. Ampon, Leanne M. Poulos, Sharon R. Davis, Brett G. Toelle, Guy B. Marks, Taehoon Lee

Mja2 702212028129

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