A simple, novel and accurate method to estimate track record: a new “P” value

Paul M Pilowsky
Med J Aust 2014; 201 (9): . || doi: 10.5694/mja14.00231
Published online: 3 November 2014

How much should past performance contribute to picking winners in grant competitions?

The weight that “track record” (TR) should contribute to the assessment of worth is a simple concept that is difficult to estimate. A synthesised value of TR is used to assess research grant applications. But what percentage of the overall variance does TR account for in determining success? In most human endeavours, assessors synthesise many variables to produce a single metric for TR that then becomes part of an overall scoring matrix. In assessing grant applications, the objective of this ranking is to minimise the risk that the grant given will not be productive.

  • Paul M Pilowsky

  • High Blood Pressure Group, Heart Research Institute, Sydney, NSW.


Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.


remove_circle_outline Delete Author
add_circle_outline Add Author

Do you have any competing interests to declare? *

I/we agree to assign copyright to the Medical Journal of Australia and agree to the Conditions of publication *
I/we agree to the Terms of use of the Medical Journal of Australia *
Email me when people comment on this article

Responses are now closed for this article.