How much cervical cancer is being prevented?

To the Editor: It was estimated in 1989 that cervical screening in Australia was preventing only 46% of squamous malignancies, against a theoretical capacity of 90%.1 This suboptimal achievement after almost 25 years of cervical screening led to a major reorganisation of the program.

The 1989 analysis has been repeated, using the most recent year (1998) for which incidence rates have been published (Box). The more recent figures suggest that cervical screening in Australia is now preventing 70% of squamous carcinoma of the cervix.

This remarkable improvement can probably be attributed to the improved participation by women in regular screening, improved standards within laboratories, and better follow-up of cytological abnormalities. While there is still scope for improvement, there is clear evidence of a substantially better gain from cervical screening. Continued efforts to increase the participation rate among women aged 60–69 years is appropriate given that the prevented proportion appears to be lower in this age range.