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General practitioners' perceptions of medicolegal risk

Using case scenarios to assess the potential impact of prostate cancer screening guidelines

Seham Girgis, Jeanette E Ward and Colin J H Thomson

MJA 1999; 171: 362-366
For editorial comment see McNeil

Abstract - Introduction - Methods - Results - Discussion - Acknowledgements - References - Authors' details
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Abstract Objective: To ascertain general practitioners' perceptions of medicolegal risk when screening for prostate cancer, and explore the potential impact of three national guidelines on perceptions and clinical practice.
Design: Postal survey in August 1997.
Participants: 219 randomly selected GPs in New South Wales (65% response rate).
Main outcome measures: Response to case scenarios; perceptions of medicolegal risk and protection afforded by national guidelines before and after reading extracts of three national guidelines; ratings of current and potential strategies to increase GPs' sense of medicolegal protection.
Results: 90% (95% CI, 86.5%-94.3%) would screen an asymptomatic male patient and 61% (95% CI, 54.2%-67.2%) indicated GPs would be at risk if they did not screen. Although significant changes in responses were found after respondents had read guideline extracts, 46% (95% CI, 39.5%-52.7%) continued to perceive medicolegal risk if screening was not performed. About two-thirds (65%; 95% CI, 59.9%-72.5%) supported a clear statement about the legal status of guidelines in a court of law to increase their sense of medicolegal protection.
Conclusions: Even when made aware of national evidence-based guidelines against prostate cancer screening, GPs in our survey perceived limited hypothetical medicolegal protection.


Introduction In Australia, the risk of medical litigation has increased. For general practitioners, the risk of being sued doubled from 1:160 in 1990 to 1:84 in 1994.1 If doctors believe these risks are substantial, this belief alone may influence their clinical behaviour.2-5

Medicolegal risk may be reduced if practice is within existing clinical practice guidelines.6 Prostate cancer screening represents a "test-case" for such guidelines.7 Although there is no evidence that premature mortality from prostate cancer will be reduced by screening (see Box 1), Australian men report high rates of testing.12,13 GPs use prostate-specific antigen (PSA) assays for screening, either alone or combined with digital rectal examination (DRE).11,14,15 Current tests cannot distinguish innocuous from aggressive malignancy.16 Treatment options for men with localised prostate cancer currently available are "unnecessary for some and insufficient for others".17 On current evidence, men's quality of life may be diminished by anxiety, unnecessary treatment and adverse complications if screening is recommended.16

Unsurprisingly, 39% of GPs surveyed in 1995 indicated that prostate cancer screening guidelines would be "extremely" or "very" useful.18 Three sets of guidelines ensued, each recommending against screening.9,19,20 Yet, Pinnock et al recently reported that there is "anecdotal evidence that general practitioners are concerned that if a PSA test is not offered, and prostate cancer is later diagnosed, they may be seen as negligent".13 In a US survey, physicians who perceived that a patient who develops prostate cancer would be successful in suing his physician if he had not been previously screened were more likely to report using PSA tests to screen than those who perceived that such litigation would be unsuccessful.21 No published Australian research has quantified the influence of medicolegal concerns on prostate cancer screening. We designed this study to ascertain GPs' perceptions of medicolegal risk when asked to screen for prostate cancer, and, by using case scenarios, to assess the potential impact of national guidelines on their views.


Methods  

Questionnaire The first section of our self-administered questionnaire commenced with this case scenario:

    Mr Smith, a 58-year-old employed repairman, presents to his regular GP after prompting by his wife to have a test for prostate cancer. He has no urinary symptoms, no family history of prostate cancer and has not had a vasectomy.

GPs were asked:

  • when they had last had a similar request;

  • what should be done;

  • whether the GP would be at risk medicolegally if she or he either did or did not perform either or both tests for screening purposes;

  • what they would do if they were the GP and which test(s) they would advise as being the best available.

We also randomised respondents to receive one of two versions of the case scenario which were identical, except that in one the patient was an architect, and in the other he was a repairman.

We next provided verbatim the policies of the Australian Cancer Society,9 the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC)19 and the Royal Australian College of General Practitioners (RACGP)20 about screening for prostate cancer, and asked if the respondents were aware of each guideline and whether, having read excerpts from all three, they would change their answers to the initial scenario. We then repeated the first scenario and questions.

Our second case scenario read as follows:

    Imagine the following scenario with the earlier patient, Mr Smith. Having presented for a PSA test, you discouraged him from having it. Imagine that six months later, he is diagnosed with prostate cancer after a blood test organised by a locum. He then proceeds with a formal complaint against you because you did not do the test when he first requested it.

We asked respondents to indicate if the three guidelines would protect them in the event of such a complaint, the extent to which such a possibility influenced their practice, and their perceptions of the likelihood of such a scenario.

We next asked respondents to indicate their opinion of each of seven statements about prostate cancer screening, using a five-point Likert scale.

Respondents then ranked five current and 14 potential strategies to increase GPs' sense of medicolegal protection in this aspect of clinical practice. The questionnaire concluded with six sociodemographic questions.  

Survey administration and analysis
We purchased a list of all NSW GPs from a commercial company and randomly selected 400 names. Questionnaires and reply-paid envelopes were mailed in mid-1997, after an advance telephone prompt. At Day 16, non-responders received a reminder letter. At Day 35, a second questionnaire was posted to remaining non-responders. Two weeks after the second mail-out, a research assistant telephoned any remaining non-responders.

The initial sample size was calculated to yield at least 200 questionnaires for analysis, thereby permitting independent and paired univariate analyses. Descriptive statistics were calculated, using SPSS version 6.0.22 We used univariate analysis to examine differences in GPs' responses to either repairman or architect scenarios. Univariate analysis was also performed to determine significant associations between respondents' beliefs and five nominated outcome variables. For these analyses, categories were collapsed into dichotomous variables. McNemar's 2 was used to determine differences in GPs' responses to the scenarios before and after reading the three guidelines.

The Royal Prince Alfred Hospital Ethics Committee approved the study.


Results Of the 400 randomly selected GPs, 64 were ineligible (2 dead, 9 retired, 25 not in general practice, 5 on extended leave, 8 outside Australia, 15 uncontactable). From the 336 eligible GPs, 219 (65%) usable questionnaires were received. Our sample comprised 161 male respondents (74%) and 55 female respondents (26%), compared with 68% and 32%, respectively, for the NSW reference sample.23 Median age of our respondents was 47 years (range, 28-70 years); half had been in general practice for more than 17 years (range, 1-47 years) and 127 (58%) worked in the Sydney metropolitan area, somewhat comparable with the NSW reference sample (51% aged 45 years or over and 70% practising in Sydney).23 As only proportions (not actual numbers) for the NSW sample have been published,23 statistical testing of response bias was precluded.  

Responses to Scenario 1
Of the 219 GPs, 116 (53%) had received the repairman version of the case scenario and 103 (47%), the architect. There was no significant difference in GPs' answers to management of a patient's request for screening before (odds ratio [OR], 0.6; 95% CI, 0.19-1.85; P = 0.4) or after (OR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.38-1.63; P = 0.5) reading the guidelines. Responses to all scenarios were therefore combined irrespective of patient occupation.

More than two-thirds (95% CI, 62.8%-75.0%) of the participating GPs had had a request for prostate cancer screening from an asymptomatic man within the previous week (21.9%; 95% CI, 16.4%-27.4%) or the previous month (47.0%; 95% CI, 39.9%-53.2%). Of the total sample, 52.5% (95% CI, 45.9%-59.1%) indicated that PSA and DRE in combination should be done if a man requested a screening test and 55.3% (95% CI, 48.7%-61.9%) would perform the two tests (Box 2). The proportion of GPs perceiving that the GP would be at medicolegal risk if she or he did not screen for prostate cancer (61.2%) was significantly higher than that perceiving a risk if she or he did screen (15.1%; OR, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.03-0.44; P < 0.001) (Box 3).

Only a quarter of the sample was aware of all three guidelines used in our survey (24.2%; 95% CI, 18.5%-29.9%). After reading the guidelines, significantly more respondents perceived less medicolegal risk if not proceeding to screening (Box 3). In addition, more respondents perceived risk if proceeding to screening (Box 3). Twenty-eight per cent (95% CI, 21.96%-33.8%) indicated that, given the three sets of guidelines, the GP would be protected medicolegally if screening tests were not performed (Box 3).  

Responses to Scenario 2
In the second case scenario, 14.6% (95% CI, 9.92%-19.3%) of respondents thought that the three guidelines would "most likely" protect them in the event of such a complaint. Respondents who thought such a scenario would "most likely" or "likely" influence their practice (68.9%; 95% CI, 62.8%-75.0%) were significantly more likely than those indicating it "unlikely" (23.7%; 95% CI, 18.1%-29.3%) to consider such a scenario could happen (OR, 2.72; 95% CI, 1.48-5.0; P = 0.0001).

Compared with respondents who had stated, after reading the three Australian guidelines, that they would not screen an asymptomatic man, those who had stated they would screen were significantly less likely to indicate that guidelines would protect them medicolegally (OR, 0.08; 95% CI, 0.03-0.19; P < 0.001). Respondents who did not indicate that the GP would be at risk medicolegally if she or he did not perform any screening test were significantly more likely to consider that the guidelines would protect them than those who did (OR, 8.76; 95% CI, 4.45-17.23; P < 0.001).

GPs who had reported that they would change their response to the case scenario after reading the guidelines presented in the survey were significantly more likely to think that the guidelines would protect them compared with those who had reported that they would not (OR, 2.55; 95% CI, 1.34-4.88; P = 0.004).  

GPs' views about influences on prostate cancer screening
Box 4 summarises responses to seven statements about prostate cancer screening in general practice. Of the sample, 87.2% (95% CI, 82.8%-91.6%) "strongly agreed" or "agreed" that patients' decisions to be screened should be based on full disclosure of what is known about diagnosis and treatment of early prostate cancer.

Respondents were significantly more likely to agree that a GP could be sued by a patient who subsequently developed prostate cancer for not performing a PSA test than by a patient who subsequently experienced adverse consequences of treatment resulting from a PSA test which had been performed (OR, 2.98; 95% CI, 1.22-8.34; P = 0.01).  

GPs' views of strategies to increase their sense of medicolegal protection
In rating five current strategies to increase their sense of medicolegal protection, 50% (95% CI, 43.6%-56.8%) of respondents considered guidelines based on systematic reviews of the evidence as "very important", followed by NHMRC endorsement (44%; 95% CI, 37.2%-50.3%), quality of patient information (44%; 95% CI, 37.2%-50.3%) and availability of patient information about prostate cancer screening (38%; 95% CI, 31.96%-44.8%). A minority (11%; 95% CI, 6.9%-15.1%) were unsure of the impact of the current adversarial court system, which is seen as adversarial rather than conciliatory. With regard to potential strategies, there was strong support for written advice about the legal status of guidelines and inviting GP peers as well as specialists as expert witnesses in court (Box 5).


Discussion Evidence-based guidelines appear to have little influence on GPs confronted by an asymptomatic man requesting prostate cancer screening. At least 90% of respondents in our study would proceed with at least one screening test (DRE, PSA, or both in combination). Furthermore, a significant majority of respondents considered the GP in the first scenario would be "at risk" medicolegally if she or he did not screen, and more so than if she or he did screen. Awareness of national guidelines was low. Surveys repeatedly demonstrate poor penetration of guidelines into general practice,24 generating interest in more deliberate implementation.7,25,26

Our proxy for assessing the impact of guidelines on clinical practice augurs poorly for their influence in reducing perceptions of risk of being sued. Although, after reading the guidelines, significantly fewer considered the GP was at risk if she or he did not screen, only 28% indicated the GP was protected medicolegally by three sets of evidence-based guidelines when complying with their recommendations against screening. Even fewer (15%) considered protection would be afforded them if a man, having been diagnosed elsewhere with prostate cancer, then proceeded to initiate legal action for previous failure to screen. Those who perceived such a situation was likely were also more influenced by it in their practice. In contrast, those who would not screen were more likely to feel protected by guidelines.

Most of the respondents supported a clear statement about the legal status of guidelines in a court of law. This is in contrast to the recommendation of a forum held in 1997 to examine legal implications of guidelines.27

Our results also confirm the observation of Pinnock et al that prostate cancer screening can be motivated by medicolegal concerns.13 In the US, physicians' self-reported screening correlates with their views about a medical malpractice vignette.21 Our findings suggest this to be the case also in Australia, prompting us to agree that "if physicians perform PSA tests at least to some extent out of fear of malpractice, then the standard of care may eventually be set by these defensive practices".21 GPs nonetheless support "informed decision-making" by men themselves. Specifically, 88% of the respondents "agreed" or "strongly agreed" that men's decisions to be screened should be based on "full disclosure" of what is known about the diagnosis and treatment of early prostate cancer.

Two methodological caveats are recognised. First, the validity of our use of scenarios before and after exposure to guidelines has not been formally tested against actual behaviour. However, we know of no other feasible method to examine perceptions of medicolegal risk on test-ordering. Second, our response rate (65%) was lower than we had hoped, but the professional and demographic characteristics of our sample were comparable with the NSW GP profile.

In summary, GPs in our survey perceived limited medicolegal protection from evidence-based guidelines. Their lack of confidence in a legal defence based on national guidelines is troubling. Those strategies suggested by GPs as important in increasing their sense of medicolegal protection could be considered further by health departments, medical defence organisations and clinical colleges.



Acknowledgements
The study was conducted while S Girgis was completing the NSW Health Department Public Health Officer Training Program. We thank Geoff Hirst for advice; Drs Buhagier, Stan, Gordon, Foran, Reid, Young, McGuigan and Sladden for their comments as GPs on questionnaire drafts; Nancy Harding for research support; Margaret Lesjak for assisting with telephone prompts; and Neil Donnelly for statistical advice.


References
  1. Keaney MA. Is there a medical litigation crisis? Individual viewpoints on the perceived medical litigation crisis. Is litigation increasing? Med J Aust 1996; 164: 178-179.
  2. Weisman C, Morlock L, Teitelbaum M, et al. Practice changes in response to maplractice litigation climate. Results of a Maryland physician survey. Med Care 1989; 27: 16-24.
  3. Kessler D, McClellan. Do doctors practice defensive medicine? National Bureau of Economic Research working paper series. Cambridge, 1996.
  4. Summerton N. Positive and negative factors in defensive medicine: a questionnaire study of general practitioners. BMJ 1995; 310: 27-29.
  5. Hancock L. Defensive medicine and informed consent: a research paper. Review of professional indemnity arrangements for health care professionals. Canberra: AGPS, 1993.
  6. Barratt A, Bates P. O tell me the truth about evidence. Aust N Z J Public Health 1997; 21: 441-444.
  7. Ward J. Prostate cancer screening: too much, too soon? Cancer Forum 1998; 22: 18-23.
  8. Report of the US Preventive Services Task Force. Guide to clinical preventive services. 2nd ed. Baltimore: Williams & Wilkins, 1996; xlii.
  9. Australian Cancer Society. Prostate cancer screening: guidelines for health professionals. Cancer Forum 1995; 19: 47-50.
  10. Wald N, Morris J. What is case-finding? J Med Screening 1996; 3: 1.
  11. Ward J, Young J, Sladden M. General practitioners' views and use of tests to detect early prostate cancer. Aust N Z J Public Health 1998; 22: 374-380.
  12. Ward J, Hughes AM, Hirst G, Winchester L. Men's estimates of prostate cancer risk and self-reported rates of screening. Med J Aust 1997; 167: 250-253.
  13. Pinnock C, Weller D, Marshall V. Self-reported prevalence of prostate-specific antigen testing in South Australia: a community study. Med J Aust 1998; 169: 25-28.
  14. Sladden M, Dickinson J. General practitioners' attitudes to screening for prostate and testicular cancer. Med J Aust 1995; 162: 410-413.
  15. Ward J, Gupta L, Taylor N. Do general practitioners use prostate-specific antigen as a screening test for early prostate cancer? Med J Aust 1998; 169: 29-31.
  16. Hirst G, Ward J, Del Mar C. Prostate cancer screening: the case against. Med J Aust 1996; 164: 285-287.
  17. Whitmore W. Management of clinically localised prostate cancer: an unresolved problem. JAMA 1993; 269: 2676-2677.
  18. Gupta L, Ward J, Hayward R. Future directions for clinical practice guidelines: needs, lead agencies and potential dissemination strategies identified by Australian general practitioners. Aust N Z J Public Health 1997; 21: 495-499.
  19. Australian Health Technology Advisory Committee. Prostate Cancer Screening. Canberra: AGPS, 1996.
  20. Royal Australian College of General Practitioners. Guidelines for preventive activities in general practice. 4th ed. Sydney: RACGP, 1996; 26.
  21. Collins M, Fowler F, Roberts R, et al. Medical malpractice implications of PSA testing for early detection of prostate cancer. J Law Med Ethics 1997; 25: 234-242.
  22. SPSS for Windows [computer program]. Version 6.0. Chicago Ill: SPSS Inc, 1992.
  23. Commonwealth Department of Health and Family Services. General practice in Australia: supplementary tables 1997. Canberra: GP Branch, 1997; 19. (Publication no. 1838.)
  24. Gupta L, Ward J, Hayward R. Clinical practice guidelines in general practice: a national survey of recall, attitudes and impact. Med J Aust 1997; 166: 69-72.
  25. Hirst G. Clinical practice guidelines -- to what end? [letter]. Med J Aust 1997; 167: 288.
  26. Puech M, Ward J, Hirst G, Hughes AM. Local implementation of national guidelines: what do general practitioners suggest will work? Int J Qual Health Care 1998; 10: 339-343.
  27. Pelly JE, Newby L, Tito F, et al. Clinical practice guidelines before the law: sword or shield? Med J Aust 1998; 169: 330-333.

(Received 7 Oct 1998, accepted 5 Jul 1999)


Authors' details Needs Assessment and Health Outcomes Unit, Sydney, NSW.
Seham Girgis, MB ChB, MPH, Public Health Officer;
Jeanette E Ward, PhD, FAFPHM, Director, and Clinical Associate Professor, Department of Public Health and Community Medicine, University of Sydney.

Australian Institute of Health, Law and Ethics, Sydney, NSW.
Colin J H Thomson, BA, LLM, Executive Officer.

Reprints: Associate Professor J E Ward, Needs Assessment and Health Outcomes Unit, Central Sydney Area Health Service, Locked Bag 8, Newtown, NSW 2042.
jwardATnah.rpa.cs.nsw.gov.au

©MJA 1999
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We appreciate your comments.

1: Defining "screening" for prostate cancer

"Screening" is defined as the testing of asymptomatic individuals to detect risk factors or preclinical disease which has not manifested itself clinically.8 A screening test must satisfy two major requirements to be considered worthwhile:

  1. The test must be able to detect the target condition earlier than without screening and not produce large numbers of false positive and false negative results;
  2. Screening for and treating persons with early disease should improve the likelihood of favourable health outcomes compared with treating patients when they present with signs or symptoms of disease.8

Community-based randomised controlled trials are in progress to assess whether prostate cancer screening reduces the risk of premature mortality from prostate cancer among men offered it.9 When the results of these trials are published in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, data with which to calculate men's mortality risk in the absence of screening and risk reduction in its presence will be publicly available.

The absence of evidence of effectiveness of prostate cancer screening to reduce premature mortality explains why four Australian authorities have recommended against it. Until such evidence is available, "case finding" by GPs who order PSA tests and/or perform DREs on asymptomatic men inadvertently implies prostate cancer screening is worthwhile, even though its effectiveness is yet unproven.10 Inadequate efforts to disseminate evidence-based guidelines to Australian GPs compound this misguided clinical practice, now known to be incorporated at disturbingly high rates in preventive health check-ups.11

In the scenario used in our survey, a 58-year-old man presents to his regular GP after prompting by his wife to have a test for prostate cancer. Testing in this context equates with screening, irrespective that the man has requested it himself.

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2: Tests recommended by general practitioners in response to a patient request before and after reading extracts from the national guidelines (n=219)

Which test should be done?Which test would you do?
BeforeAfterBeforeAfter

DRE and PSA53%37%55%43%
DRE alone31%19%28%18%
PSA alone4%7%7%12%
Neither10%32%6%19%

DRE = digital rectal examination. PSA = prostate specific antigen. *McNemar's 2 = 47.02; P < 0.001. McNemar's 2 22.78; 1 df; P < 0.001. Bold indicates a response consistent with the national guidelines. Where columns do not add to 100%. Data are missing.
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3: General practitioners' perception of medicolegal risk before and after reading the guidelines (n=219

BeforeAfter

Is the GP at risk medicolegally if she or he does not perform either or both tests for screening?
Yes61%46%
No26%42%
Unsure13%11%
McNemar 2=20.02; 1 df; P < 0.0001
Is the GP at risk medicolegally is she or he does perform either or both tests for screening?
Yes15%19%
No69%62%
Unsure16%18%
McNemar 2=4.05; 1 df; P = 0.041
Given the three recommendations, is the GP protected medicolegally if she or he does not perform either or both tests for screening?
Yes-28%
No-33%
Unsure-33%

Bold indicates a response consistent with the national guidelines. Where columns do not add to 100%, data are missing.
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4: General practitioners' views about seven statements pertinent to prostate cancer screening (n=219)

Strongly agreeAgreeUnsureDisagreeStrongly disagree

Patients' decisions to be screened should be based on full disclosure of what is known about the diagnosis and treatment of early prostate cancer
46%42%5%6%1%
A positive PSA test result may cause unnecessary anxiety for the patients
25%62%3%9%1%
A GP could be sued for not ordering a PSA test for someone who subsequently develops cancer of the prostate.
16%43%12%20%7%
A positive PSA test result leads to investigations and treatments of unknown effectiveness
10%44%14%27%3%
A GP could be sued for ordering a PSA test for someone who subsequently experiences adverse consequences from treatment
6%18%25%35%16%
A positive PSA result will lead to investigations associated with unacceptable morbidity
3%20%21%49%6%
Patients should sign a 'consent form' explaining benefits and potential complications of PSA testing before the GP orders it
7%14% 23%41%14%

Where rows do not add to 100%, data are missing.
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5: Percentage of respondents rating as "very important" 14 potential strategies to increase a sense of medicolegal protection (n=219)

Guidelines
Clear statement about the legal status of the guidelines in a court 65%
That guidelines summarise any relevant medicolegal judgments44%
Public education
Pamphlets for patients about prostate cancer screening tests in languages other than English 49%
Mass media campaign targeting men older than 50 years which reassures men that screening is ineffective44%
A standard consent form explaining benefits and consequences of prostate-specific antigen screening which would need to be signed by the man before he has the test29%
A standard consent form also available in languages other than English27%
Courts
Requiring a peer expert GP as well as a specialist as expert witnesses66%
Legislation that a false screening report does not of itself establish negligence59%
Requiring all expert witnesses refer to evidence-based guidelines in court56%
Requiring peer expert GPs instead of expert specialists as expert witnesses53%
Expert panels to advise the judge instead of juries49%
A system of "No fault compensation"46%
Removing cases of malpractice from the adversarial legal system46%
Juries to include members with medical backgrounds in medicolegal cases35%
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